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Probability and statistics

New paper suggests historical period estimates of climate sensitivity are not biased low by unusual variability in sea surface temperature patterns

 A pdf version of this article is available here An [...]

By Nicholas Lewis|2020-08-24T20:40:26+01:00August 24th, 2020|Climate sensitivity, Internal variability, Probability and statistics|0 Comments
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Paper justifying AR4’s use of a uniform prior for estimating climate sensitivity shown to be faulty

Originally posted on Jul 30, 2014 – 10:41 AM at [...]

By Nicholas Lewis|2018-04-20T18:29:03+01:00April 20th, 2018|Climate sensitivity, Posts originally elsewhere, Probability and statistics|0 Comments
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Statistical errors in the Forest 2006 climate sensitivity study

Originally a guest post on Nov 8, 2012 at 8:03 [...]

By Nicholas Lewis|2018-04-22T21:56:23+01:00April 19th, 2018|Climate sensitivity, Posts originally elsewhere, Probability and statistics|0 Comments
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Marotzke and Forster’s circular attribution of CMIP5 intermodel warming differences

Originally a guest post on Feb 5, 2015 – 10:42 [...]

By Nicholas Lewis|2018-04-19T11:34:43+01:00April 19th, 2018|Climate sensitivity, Probability and statistics|0 Comments
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Objective Bayesian parameter estimation: Incorporating prior information

Originally a guest post on Mar 21, 2016 – 12:37 [...]

By Nicholas Lewis|2018-04-19T10:37:02+01:00April 19th, 2018|Posts originally elsewhere, Probability and statistics|0 Comments
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Bayesian parameter estimation: Radiocarbon dating re-examined

Originally a guest post on Mar 2, 2016 – 8:56 [...]

By Nicholas Lewis|2018-04-19T10:29:27+01:00April 19th, 2018|Posts originally elsewhere, Probability and statistics|0 Comments
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Radiocarbon calibration and Bayesian inference

Originally a guest post on Apr 17, 2014 – 10:04 [...]

By Nicholas Lewis|2018-04-19T10:20:39+01:00April 19th, 2018|Posts originally elsewhere, Probability and statistics|0 Comments
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